Biden Lead Over Trump Cut To 3 Points After Presidential Debate: IBD/TIPP Poll

Joe Biden’s lead over President Donald Trump has narrowed to 2.7 points among likely voters, a new IBD/TIPP 2020 election poll finds. Trump’s rise comes despite registered voters seeing Biden as the winner of Tuesday’s debate and coming across as more likable by double-digit margins.

After the debate, 19% of registered voters who watched said they switched their vote, with 11% backing Trump and 8% shifting to Biden. Nearly everyone who said they switched to Trump had voted for him in 2016. Half those who switched to Biden had voted for Clinton in 2016. The others included Trump voters, nonvoters, and third-party voters.

The weighted likely voter sample reflects 411 Democrats, 403 Republicans, and 201 independent voters.

The IBD/TIPP Poll, one of only two polls to predict Trump’s victory in 2016, has been recognized as the most accurate pollster in recent elections.

Starting Oct. 12, the IBD/TIPP Presidential Tracking Poll will provide daily updates of the Biden vs. Trump race. TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence, IBD’s polling partner, shifted to an online poll amid the coronavirus pandemic. However, the presidential tracking poll will rely primarily on live phone interviews that will be supplemented with online surveys.

•The first debate between President Trump and former VP Biden is set for  Sept. 29 in Cleveland. It will be hosted by “Fox News Sunday” anchor  Chris Wallace.

•C-SPAN senior producer and senior political editor Steve Scully will moderate the second debate, a town-hall-style event that will take place on Oct. 15 in Miami.

•The final debate, set for Oct. 22 in Nashville, will be moderated by  NBC News White House reporter and “Today” show weekend co-anchor Kristen  Welker.