COVID-19 Peak First Wave Date Nearing

 Thee global infection growth is showing early signs of slowing (53% W/W vs. 95% W/W two weeks ago), according to Johns Hopkins data, according to which the number of global confirmed cases is set to surpass 2 million in the coming days.

This reduction in new cases is the result of a sharp drop in the number of susceptible targets (i.e., cutting new contacts), which means that curve control is working with both China and Korea now well into the recovery stage, while Germany, Spain, and Italy are at or near the curve peak, with France, the UK, and the United States (as a 20,000 death toll overtakes Itay’s) and several other nations in including Brazil are close behind.

Based on secular data projections, it looks like we may begin to see a meaningful reduction of the COVID-19 quarantine restrictions, between May 22 – June 22nd, particularly in the United State, as we approach the Annular Solar Eclipse that will occur during the Summer Solstice 

However the June 21st Solar Eclipse path crosses directly over China through India, the Middle East and Western and Central Africa. Which then brings us to the $64 trillion (not that far off from actual global GDP) question: is the coming of a COVID-19 “second reinfection wave” going to occur following in the aftermath of the eclipse. If so, is the Second Wave going to be bigger – similar to the Spanish Flu pandemic – where deaths in the second wave were 5x greater than those from the first wave? 

However ongoing Jupiter-Pluto alignment, which correlates historically with large scale epidemics and pandemics (as recent evidence indicates the COVID-19 infection life cycle could last for 4-5 weeks including a 2-week incubation period), argues that the amplitude could be higher, however, a la the Spanish Flu pandemic, if it turns out that the life cycle of the coronavirus is far longer than authorities have assumed. 

Prediction: It is likely we will have and 2nd ‘reinfection’ wave followed by controls, followed up by the flare-up of the 3rd ‘reinfection’ wave later in the year followed by controls until we l we actually get a vaccine. It will probably be necessary for the United States and governments throughout the globe to be focusing on an 18-month COVID-19 strategy to support and enhance the health care system and the economy going forward.