Trafalgar Group 2020 Election Forecast for Sep. 6, 2020

Trafalgar Group, who made a name for itself 2016 by being the only pollster to correctly show Donald Trump with a lead in Michigan and Pennsylvania — two key states he carried — heading into Election Day. (They did not poll Wisconsin, another surprising win for Trump.) Trafalgar also showed Trump ahead in North Carolina and Florida, both of which he won, securing his highly improbable 304-227 Electoral College victory over Hillary Clinton. Based on its record in 2016 and this year, Trafalgar is a polling firm to watch as Trump’s 2020 re-election bid heats up. Below is the latest Trafalgar Group polling forecast as of September 6th, 2020.